I’ve
been pretty quiet over the whole health care fiasco, mostly because the
topic is being done to death elsewhere, but also because I’ve been
enjoying the spring and following my beloved Spartans in the NCAA
tournament.
Politics is important, and the fact that our very bodies are now considered federal property makes this clear as never before. Still, it is essential that those of us who believe in limited government still take a break now and then. Call it the pause that refreshes so that we can return to the fight with renewed energy.
Over at the Volokh Conspiracy, there is a discussion about the ways in which ObamaCare can be repealed. The commenters tend to be skeptical, not only of the strategy envisioned but of the very concept of undoing an entitlement. They
point out (perhaps correctly, it is too early to tell), that people
usually like getting something for nothing, and ObamaCare – like Social
Security and Medicare – is yet another giveaway.
One commenter even goes so far as to claim that RomneyCare in Massachusetts has something like 70 percent approval. Let us assume this is true.
The
problem is that the Commonwealth of Massachusetts is going bankrupt
trying to pay for it, just as the United States will go bankrupt trying
to pay for ObamaCare. As its already high tax burden continues to bite and jobs flee the state, we shall see how popular it remains.
This is the elephant in the living room that supersedes all other arguments. The US is already burdened by unsustainable entitlements. No matter how popular they are, they cannot continue indefinitely. We are paying for our day-to-day living on credit. At some point the bill comes due.
The states understand this. They are already stretched to the limit. They understand that the expansions of Medicare will bankrupt them. This is why the opposition to ObamaCare is so deeply rooted – it is simply a pipe dream.
It is true that I have disagreed with Mark Steyn quite a bit about whether Europe will surrender to Islam. I don’t think it will. I do however agree with him that the EU as currently constituted cannot continue for much longer. There
nation-states will undergo radical transformations as their economies
collapse due to chronic and unsustainable entitlements. Greece is merely the first domino to fall in this respect.
We are entering a time of great upheaval – political, cultural and economic.
I
believe the United States, because of its self-helm and self-reliant
culture, is better placed to survive these challenges more or less
intact.
But there will be tough times ahead.
In a way, I find myself sort of relieved about the passage of this legislation. It will greatly speed up the day of reckoning.
If ObamaCare had stalled or failed to pass, we would not have confronted the problem. Using
the famous parable of comparing the erosion of liberty to boiling a
frog, what this bill has done is sharply increase the heat. This
will do one of two things: It will either awaken the frog to the danger
it faces, causing it to leap out, or it will kill it that much faster.
Either way, the way will be open for a process of creative destruction and societal renewal.
People tend to be short-sighted. For 60 years the US has enjoyed almost uninterrupted peace and prosperity. There have been disturbances, but no since the Great Depression and World War II have we faced a prolonged and severe test. We have gotten complacent. Reality is going to end that complacency.
I admit I had hoped for a soft landing – that the frog would jump out of the pot. It may yet do so. Americans may enjoy “free” stuff in the form of entitlements, but they also really hate being ignored. The content of the health care legislation in this respect is less important that the corrupt process that created it. Michigan’s Bart Stupak made a name for himself as a man of principle before shamefully caving. He
proved that when the chips were down, what he claimed were his core
principles were in fact for sale (and quite cheaply bought).
This is why the Tea Partiers will not go away and why conservatives stand to make huge gains.
Even
if they do not have the power to repeal ObamaCare, they can tinker with
it, starving it of funding, imposing abortion bans and otherwise
slicing into it. There is much that can be done short of outright repeal. They can administer the death of a thousand cuts.
Again, this would be the soft landing.
The hard landing is one in which the GOP regains some power, some punishment is inflicted, but nothing much changes. Our prestige abroad evaporates and our economy at home weakens. The gulf between the producers and the parasites continues to grow and societal divisions become sharper. In
the end, there will be a reckoning – when the currency is debased, the
treasury is emptied and there are no more freebies to give away.
I’m
not sure which scenario is more likely, but ObamaCare’s passage has
pushed us much farther along the path – which may turn out to a
blessing in disguise.
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