There is a tendency in any contest to become obsessed with your own side's weaknesses and to play up every disadvantage as proof that defeat is certain. That's pretty much the way things look for the GOP.
It is worth remembering that one need not be perfect to win, only slightly better than the other guy. The Democrats have a stack of problems of their own.
To begin with, there is the utter absence of any credible leadership. Hillary! is fumbling and stumbling her way to the nomination despite multiple failures and scandals. The hope among the Democrat leadership is that by holding their debates at odd hours no one will watch. Certainly the fix is also in regarding her opposing candidates - none of whom have challenged her utter lack of ethics.
I'm not the first one to note that she has not even a tenth of Barack Obama's charisma and it is hard for me to imagine black voters turning out in massive levels to vote for her.
There are also problems with the infrastructure of the party itself. More states are right to work and a strong legal challenge has emerged on the right of public sector unions to withhold any dues at all (currently members may opt out of only overtly political dues). This cuts to the very core of the Democrats' government-funded money machine. The party is increasingly nothing more than an organized racket offering cash for votes. Take away the goodies, the empire collapses.
In terms of policy, the Democrats are at loggerheads with the majority of Americans on most issues. A clear majority of Americans are horrified by the practice of dismembering and selling baby parts and no amount of media spin will make that queasiness go away. It's fashionable in media circles to claim the GOP has become radicalized but it is the Dems who are way off the reservation here. The Dems must now defend the most extreme take on abortion in almost any Western country: Government-funded abortion on demand right up until birth.
Gun control has never been less popular yet the Dems seem driven to enact it in the teeth of popular opposition. The recent decision by the Virginia attorney general to cancel reciprocity agreements on concealed carry with 25 states (including all of Virginia's border states that have the law) is simply insane.
While it is true that Obama has been beating that drum of late, he did so only after being safely elected to his second term. Virginia Democrats are setting themselves up for a massive backlash. Contra media myths, the shooting sports are not something that only interests old, white men, but an increasingly demographically diverse activity.
One of the reasons I've been absent from this blog of late is that I've been getting reacquainted with this hobby, frequenting gun shows and the like. The number of young people - including women - is striking. Perhaps because their lives are so highly regimented elsewhere, Millennials seems to have a particularly interest in custom ARs and other modular firearms.
In fact, there are tons of small manufacturers who will build parts to order, often with humorous customized inscriptions. I saw one AR whose selector read: "LIVE," DEAD," and "UNDEAD." People can and are having their own symbols machine-etched on the side,, making the weapon a unique expression of their individuality. These people are not going to then vote to give these things away and will resist any attempts to confiscate them.
Perhaps the elephant in the room is personal safety. If these jihadi-inspired attacks continue to happen, no amount of media blackout and/or presidential shows of concern will work. The notion that we as a nation just need to accept a weekly bombing or mass shooting to show our tolerance is insane. The "security moms" - a key component of George W. Bush's re-election in 2004 - will once again become a factor.
Finally, there is the perilous state of government finances. In a down economy (and it's been down for years) there is simply no appetite for tax increases. Something is going to have to give. Democrat jurisdictions continue to indulge is useless, graft-ridden vanity projects but the money is running out. When it does, the coalition of the hand-out seekers will turn on itself.
Our electoral politics are on a collision course with reality. Reality is going to win (it always does) and the only question is how hard we with.
Brace for impact.