This election is difficult to figure out -- starting with Donald Trump improbably winning the GOP nomination against a large field of opponents despite his lack of political experience, inadequate "ground game" and penchant for putting his foot in his mouth.
Never Trumpers and other GOP establishment types make much of the fact that The Donald has a much lower level of support from Republican women than Mitt Romney did four years ago, and they claim hispanics and Muslims will vote for him in lower numbers, too, because he has supposedly alienated them. Perhaps they are right. But they also don't seem to perceive that the number of first-time voters (or first-time-in-a-long-timers who cast ballots) may well be significant and will support Trump in large numbers.
Trump has resonated with his acknowledgement of how badly America's middle class and struggling low-wage workers have been hurt by one-sided trade deals, his desire to use tariffs to whip trade partners into shape, his commitment to protect the homeland from terrorists and his promise to build a border wall and stanch the influx of illegal immigrants.
He also has repeatedly hammered the odious Hillary Clinton as the lying crook she is. In recent days he has reiterated that electing Hillary will result in a dreary continuation of the failed Obama policies: anemic growth, stagnant wages and little opportunity -- not to mention total chaos in the Middle East due to a sclerotic foreign policy.
But Hillary may have an ace in the hole to woo millennials who might otherwise be willing to give Trump a shot despite the thorough Marxist brainwashing many of them endured in high school and college: Free college tuition and forgiveness of student loan debt.
During the Democrat primary, Hillary disagreed with opponent Sen. Bernie Sanders about offering free college tuition. She has since changed her tune to propose free tuition at in-state public colleges and universities for families with incomes up to $125,000. She has also stated that if elected, she will spend over $100 billion on forgiveness of student loans.
I don't know how many millions college students, or recent graduates burdened by high student loan debt while holding low-wage jobs will vote for Hillary because of these promises. But I would hazard to guess the number is significant, and would augment the young Hillary voters whose main concerns may be issues like abortion or the environment.
This is a tough row to hoe for The Donald, and his campaign must be careful about how it responds. Trying to offer Democrat Lite simply comes across as brazen pandering and would probably not buy Trump many more votes.